EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Tammy Abraham
Brentford @ Aston Villa
Published Saturday, October 10, 2026
2 goals in his last 5 matches — 0.4 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.4 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.2 for tonight's candidates. Aston Villa are scoring at 1.23 times the league baseline — a side creating more chances than average for him to finish.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
19194
odds source
market
bookmaker
MyBookie.ag
estimated odds
+256
market implied prob
0.3663003663003663
edge
-0.085
base rate
0.277
adjusted rate
0.33
player id
pl_61148026
player name
Tammy Abraham
position
F
team
Aston Villa
match
Brentford @ Aston Villa
goals in window
2
matches played
5
goals per match
0.4
expected goals per match
0
shots on target per match
0.4
non penalty expected goals per match
0.06
penalty expected goals per match
0
estimated score probability
0.281
odds
+173
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.