Villarreal @ Borussia Dortmund

Published Tuesday, September 8, 2026

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

3246

odds source

market

bookmaker

1xBet

estimated odds

+478

market implied prob

0.2631578947368421

edge

-0.09

base rate

0.178

adjusted rate

0.19

player id

pl_61183134

player name

Nicolas Pépé

position

team

Villarreal

match

Villarreal @ Borussia Dortmund

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.4

expected goals per match

0.16

shots on target per match

1.4

non penalty expected goals per match

0.13

penalty expected goals per match

0.032

estimated score probability

0.173

odds

+280

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.