Quinn Sullivan

Orlando City SC @ Philadelphia Union

Published Saturday, September 26, 2026

1 goal in his last 5 matches — 0.2 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.28 expected goals a match, so the scoring is backed by the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 0.8 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.2 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

265882

odds source

market

bookmaker

MyBookie.ag

estimated odds

+429

market implied prob

0.3125

edge

-0.123

base rate

0.188

adjusted rate

0.209

player id

pl_61630314

player name

Quinn Sullivan

position

team

Philadelphia Union

match

Orlando City SC @ Philadelphia Union

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.2

expected goals per match

0.28

shots on target per match

0.8

non penalty expected goals per match

0.1

penalty expected goals per match

0.192

estimated score probability

0.189

odds

+220

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.