EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Callum Wilson
Chelsea @ Brentford
Published Friday, September 18, 2026
2 goals in his last 4 matches — 0.5 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.01 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 0.75 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
2939
odds source
market
bookmaker
Betfair
estimated odds
+253
market implied prob
0.3448275862068966
edge
-0.062
base rate
0.235
adjusted rate
0.333
player id
pl_6164200
player name
Callum Wilson
position
F
team
Brentford
match
Chelsea @ Brentford
goals in window
2
matches played
4
goals per match
0.5
expected goals per match
0.01
shots on target per match
0.75
non penalty expected goals per match
0.06
penalty expected goals per match
0
estimated score probability
0.283
odds
+190
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.