Coventry @ Manchester City

Published Saturday, September 5, 2026

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

1100

odds source

market

bookmaker

Pinnacle

estimated odds

+173

market implied prob

0.6677740863787376

edge

-0.302

base rate

0.335

adjusted rate

0.455

player id

pl_61928103

player name

Erling Haaland

position

team

Manchester City

match

Coventry @ Manchester City

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.75

expected goals per match

0.39

shots on target per match

1.75

non penalty expected goals per match

0.37

penalty expected goals per match

0.065

estimated score probability

0.366

odds

-201

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.