Villarreal @ Borussia Dortmund

Published Tuesday, September 8, 2026

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

1707

odds source

market

bookmaker

1xBet

estimated odds

+415

market implied prob

0.3125

edge

-0.118

base rate

0.203

adjusted rate

0.216

player id

pl_6234313

player name

Gerard Moreno

position

team

Villarreal

match

Villarreal @ Borussia Dortmund

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.25

expected goals per match

0.33

shots on target per match

0.5

non penalty expected goals per match

0.15

penalty expected goals per match

0.188

estimated score probability

0.194

odds

+220

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.