Fiorentina @ Venezia

Published Friday, September 11, 2026

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

292172

odds source

market

bookmaker

William Hill

estimated odds

+488

market implied prob

0.35714285714285715

edge

-0.187

base rate

0.192

adjusted rate

0.186

player id

pl_62893698

player name

Mateo Pellegrino

position

team

Fiorentina

match

Fiorentina @ Venezia

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.33

expected goals per match

0.1

shots on target per match

0.33

non penalty expected goals per match

0.13

penalty expected goals per match

estimated score probability

0.17

odds

+180

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.