Breel Embolo

New York City FC @ Atlanta United FC

Published Saturday, September 26, 2026

1 goal in his last 4 matches — 0.25 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.43 expected goals a match, so the scoring is backed by the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 1 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.2 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

421

odds source

market

bookmaker

MyBookie.ag

estimated odds

+429

market implied prob

0.373134328358209

edge

-0.184

base rate

0.218

adjusted rate

0.209

player id

pl_6965248

player name

Breel Embolo

position

team

Atlanta United FC

match

New York City FC @ Atlanta United FC

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.25

expected goals per match

0.43

shots on target per match

non penalty expected goals per match

0.24

penalty expected goals per match

0.188

estimated score probability

0.189

odds

+168

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.