EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Marc Bartra
Getafe @ Real Betis
Published Thursday, September 17, 2026
3 goals in his last 4 matches — 0.75 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.14 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.07500000000000001. 1 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
1561
odds source
market
bookmaker
Betfair
estimated odds
+313
market implied prob
0.0625
edge
0.18
base rate
0.233
adjusted rate
0.277
player id
pl_7202950
player name
Marc Bartra
position
D
team
Real Betis
match
Getafe @ Real Betis
goals in window
3
matches played
4
goals per match
0.75
expected goals per match
0.14
shots on target per match
1
non penalty expected goals per match
0.15
penalty expected goals per match
0
estimated score probability
0.242
odds
+1500
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.