Franco Mastantuono

Fiorentina @ Genoa

Published Saturday, October 10, 2026

3 goals in his last 5 matches — 0.6 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.44 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.07. 1.8 shots on target a match — the volume is there, against a median of 0.2 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

449249

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+268

market implied prob

0.23255813953488372

edge

0.039

base rate

0.321

adjusted rate

0.317

player id

pl_74507471

player name

Franco Mastantuono

position

team

Fiorentina

match

Fiorentina @ Genoa

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.6

expected goals per match

0.44

shots on target per match

1.8

non penalty expected goals per match

0.48

penalty expected goals per match

0.032

estimated score probability

0.272

odds

+330

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.