EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
César Palacios
Manchester United @ Fulham
Published Sunday, September 20, 2026
2 goals in his last 4 matches — 0.5 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.2 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.07. 1 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
386306
odds source
market
bookmaker
Betfair
estimated odds
+231
market implied prob
0.2
edge
0.102
base rate
0.26
adjusted rate
0.36
player id
pl_83067443
player name
César Palacios
position
F
team
Fulham
match
Manchester United @ Fulham
goals in window
2
matches played
4
goals per match
0.5
expected goals per match
0.2
shots on target per match
1
non penalty expected goals per match
0.27
penalty expected goals per match
0
estimated score probability
0.302
odds
+400
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.