EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Ilias Akhomach
Villarreal @ Malaga
Published Thursday, September 17, 2026
No goals in his last 3 matches. 0 shots on target a match — thin volume for a goal-scorer price, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates. Malaga are conceding 1.6 goals a match against an expected 1.23 — a +0.37 gap. They are shipping more than the chances they allow deserve, which tends to correct — the defence is better than the goals-against column says.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
290740
odds source
market
bookmaker
William Hill
estimated odds
+1090
market implied prob
0.23809523809523808
edge
-0.154
base rate
0.091
adjusted rate
0.088
player id
pl_83298872
player name
Ilias Akhomach
position
F
team
Villarreal
match
Villarreal @ Malaga
goals in window
0
matches played
3
goals per match
0
expected goals per match
0
shots on target per match
0
non penalty expected goals per match
0
penalty expected goals per match
0
estimated score probability
0.084
odds
+320
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.