EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Alexandru Mățan
St. Louis City @ New York Red Bulls
Published Wednesday, September 30, 2026
1 goal in his last 5 matches — 0.2 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.02 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.07. 0.6 shots on target a match, against a median of 0 for tonight's candidates.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
43095
odds source
market
bookmaker
1xBet
estimated odds
+1595
market implied prob
0.3225806451612903
edge
-0.264
base rate
0.073
adjusted rate
0.061
player id
pl_84030869
player name
Alexandru Mățan
position
M
team
St. Louis City
match
St. Louis City @ New York Red Bulls
goals in window
1
matches played
5
goals per match
0.2
expected goals per match
0.02
shots on target per match
0.6
non penalty expected goals per match
0.06
penalty expected goals per match
0
estimated score probability
0.059
odds
+210
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.