Maximilian Beier

Werder Bremen @ Borussia Dortmund

Published Friday, October 9, 2026

1 goal in his last 5 matches — 0.2 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.24 expected goals a match, so the scoring is backed by the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 0.4 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

158644

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+352

market implied prob

0.3597122302158273

edge

-0.139

base rate

0.212

adjusted rate

0.25

player id

pl_84705456

player name

Maximilian Beier

position

team

Borussia Dortmund

match

Werder Bremen @ Borussia Dortmund

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.2

expected goals per match

0.24

shots on target per match

0.4

non penalty expected goals per match

0.26

penalty expected goals per match

estimated score probability

0.221

odds

+178

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.