Ville Koski

Valencia @ Alaves

Published Tuesday, September 15, 2026

1 goal in his last 5 matches — 0.2 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.15 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.07. 0.2 shots on target a match — thin volume for a goal-scorer price, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

106759

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+726

market implied prob

0.05

edge

0.071

base rate

0.091

adjusted rate

0.129

player id

pl_84783057

player name

Ville Koski

position

team

Alaves

match

Valencia @ Alaves

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.2

expected goals per match

0.15

shots on target per match

0.2

non penalty expected goals per match

0.16

penalty expected goals per match

estimated score probability

0.121

odds

+1900

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.