EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Daniel Edelman
St. Louis City @ New York Red Bulls
Published Wednesday, September 30, 2026
1 goal in his last 5 matches — 0.2 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.14 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.07. 0.2 shots on target a match — thin volume for a goal-scorer price, against a median of 0 for tonight's candidates.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
265871
odds source
market
bookmaker
1xBet
estimated odds
+1308
market implied prob
0.1724137931034483
edge
-0.101
base rate
0.088
adjusted rate
0.074
player id
pl_84857072
player name
Daniel Edelman
position
M
team
St. Louis City
match
St. Louis City @ New York Red Bulls
goals in window
1
matches played
5
goals per match
0.2
expected goals per match
0.14
shots on target per match
0.2
non penalty expected goals per match
0.14
penalty expected goals per match
0
estimated score probability
0.071
odds
+480
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.