EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Mikel Rodriguez
Valencia @ Alaves
Published Tuesday, September 15, 2026
1 goal in his last 3 matches — 0.33 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.18 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.07. 0.33 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.
THE NUMBERS
odds source
market
bookmaker
Betfair
estimated odds
+545
market implied prob
0.25316455696202533
edge
-0.098
base rate
0.119
adjusted rate
0.169
player id
pl_96186668
player name
Mikel Rodriguez
position
M
team
Alaves
match
Valencia @ Alaves
goals in window
1
matches played
3
goals per match
0.33
expected goals per match
0.18
shots on target per match
0.33
non penalty expected goals per match
0.18
penalty expected goals per match
0
estimated score probability
0.155
odds
+295
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.