Real Madrid @ Real Betis

Published Friday, September 4, 2026

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

762

odds source

market

bookmaker

Pinnacle

estimated odds

+355

market implied prob

0.3816793893129771

edge

-0.162

base rate

0.235

adjusted rate

0.249

player id

pl_96248304

player name

Vinícius Júnior

position

team

Real Madrid

match

Real Madrid @ Real Betis

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.5

expected goals per match

0.37

shots on target per match

0.75

non penalty expected goals per match

0.35

penalty expected goals per match

0.025

estimated score probability

0.22

odds

+162

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.