Martín Ojeda

Orlando City SC @ Philadelphia Union

Published Saturday, September 26, 2026

2 goals in his last 5 matches — 0.4 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.3 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 1.4 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.2 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

5919

odds source

market

bookmaker

MyBookie.ag

estimated odds

+369

market implied prob

0.33444816053511706

edge

-0.121

base rate

0.239

adjusted rate

0.24

player id

pl_96401699

player name

Martín Ojeda

position

team

Orlando City SC

match

Orlando City SC @ Philadelphia Union

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.4

expected goals per match

0.3

shots on target per match

1.4

non penalty expected goals per match

0.18

penalty expected goals per match

0.15

estimated score probability

0.213

odds

+199

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.