Giuliano Simeone

Osasuna @ Atletico Madrid

Published Wednesday, September 16, 2026

2 goals in his last 5 matches — 0.4 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.19 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 0.4 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.2 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

323935

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+446

market implied prob

0.21739130434782608

edge

-0.034

base rate

0.186

adjusted rate

0.202

player id

pl_97022077

player name

Giuliano Simeone

position

team

Atletico Madrid

match

Osasuna @ Atletico Madrid

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.4

expected goals per match

0.19

shots on target per match

0.4

non penalty expected goals per match

0.16

penalty expected goals per match

0.032

estimated score probability

0.183

odds

+360

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.