Marcos Fernández

Espanyol @ Rayo Vallecano

Published Tuesday, September 15, 2026

1 goal in his last 4 matches — 0.25 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.2 expected goals a match, so the scoring is backed by the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.07. 0.75 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

347885

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+630

market implied prob

0.2631578947368421

edge

-0.126

base rate

0.127

adjusted rate

0.147

player id

pl_97708124

player name

Marcos Fernández

position

team

Espanyol

match

Espanyol @ Rayo Vallecano

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.25

expected goals per match

0.2

shots on target per match

0.75

non penalty expected goals per match

0.22

penalty expected goals per match

0.003

estimated score probability

0.137

odds

+280

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.