EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Jacobo Ortega
Strasbourg @ Paris FC
Published Saturday, September 19, 2026
1 goal in his last 4 matches — 0.25 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.26 expected goals a match, so the scoring is backed by the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 1 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.2 for tonight's candidates.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
561010
odds source
market
bookmaker
1xBet
estimated odds
+408
market implied prob
0.24390243902439024
edge
-0.047
base rate
0.197
adjusted rate
0.219
player id
pl_98406762
player name
Jacobo Ortega
position
F
team
Strasbourg
match
Strasbourg @ Paris FC
goals in window
1
matches played
4
goals per match
0.25
expected goals per match
0.26
shots on target per match
1
non penalty expected goals per match
0.26
penalty expected goals per match
0
estimated score probability
0.197
odds
+310
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.