EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg overperform
OUTPERFORMING XG
Bayern München are scoring 3.20 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.54 — a +0.66 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
Published Sunday, September 13, 2026
Bayern München are scoring 3.20 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.54 — a +0.66 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_overperform
team id
157
team name
Bayern München
opponent today
SV Elversberg
match label
Bayern München vs SV Elversberg
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Bayern München are scoring 3.20 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.54 — a +0.66 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
1.65
sample size
5
competition tier
2
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.