EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg overperform
OUTPERFORMING XG
Werder Bremen are scoring 2.20 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.22 — a +0.98 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
Published Friday, October 9, 2026
Werder Bremen are scoring 2.20 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.22 — a +0.98 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_overperform
team id
162
team name
Werder Bremen
opponent today
Borussia Dortmund
match label
Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Werder Bremen are scoring 2.20 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.22 — a +0.98 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
2.4499999999999997
sample size
5
competition tier
2
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.