EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg overperform
OUTPERFORMING XG
Borussia Dortmund are scoring 2.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.62 — a +1.18 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
Published Tuesday, September 8, 2026
Borussia Dortmund are scoring 2.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.62 — a +1.18 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_overperform
team id
165
team name
Borussia Dortmund
opponent today
Villarreal
match label
Villarreal vs Borussia Dortmund
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Borussia Dortmund are scoring 2.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.62 — a +1.18 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
2.9499999999999997
sample size
5
competition tier
1
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.