EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg overperform
OUTPERFORMING XG
Borussia Dortmund are scoring 2.63 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.00 — a +0.63 gap over their last 8. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
Published Friday, October 9, 2026
Borussia Dortmund are scoring 2.63 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.00 — a +0.63 gap over their last 8. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_overperform
team id
165
team name
Borussia Dortmund
opponent today
Werder Bremen
match label
Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Borussia Dortmund are scoring 2.63 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.00 — a +0.63 gap over their last 8. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
1.575
sample size
8
competition tier
2
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.