EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg overperform
OUTPERFORMING XG
Hamburger SV are scoring 1.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.22 — a +0.58 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
Published Sunday, September 6, 2026
Hamburger SV are scoring 1.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.22 — a +0.58 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_overperform
team id
175
team name
Hamburger SV
opponent today
FSV Mainz 05
match label
FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Hamburger SV are scoring 1.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.22 — a +0.58 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
1.4499999999999997
sample size
5
competition tier
2
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.