EDGEAI

SOCCERedge xg overperform

OUTPERFORMING XG

AZ Alkmaar are scoring 3.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.39 — a +0.61 gap over their last 7. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.

Published Wednesday, September 16, 2026

AZ Alkmaar are scoring 3.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.39 — a +0.61 gap over their last 7. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.

THE NUMBERS

angle
xg_overperform
team id
201
team name
AZ Alkmaar
opponent today
Sunderland
match label
AZ Alkmaar vs Sunderland
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
AZ Alkmaar are scoring 3.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.39 — a +0.61 gap over their last 7. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
1.525
sample size
7
competition tier
2

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.