EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg overperform
OUTPERFORMING XG
Benfica are scoring 3.40 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.56 — a +0.84 gap over their last 10. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
Published Wednesday, September 16, 2026
Benfica are scoring 3.40 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.56 — a +0.84 gap over their last 10. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_overperform
team id
211
team name
Benfica
opponent today
AC Milan
match label
Benfica vs AC Milan
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Benfica are scoring 3.40 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.56 — a +0.84 gap over their last 10. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
2.0999999999999996
sample size
10
competition tier
2
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.