EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg overperform
OUTPERFORMING XG
Manchester United are scoring 2.75 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.16 — a +0.59 gap over their last 4. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
Published Sunday, September 13, 2026
Manchester United are scoring 2.75 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.16 — a +0.59 gap over their last 4. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_overperform
team id
33
team name
Manchester United
opponent today
Manchester City
match label
Manchester City vs Manchester United
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Manchester United are scoring 2.75 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.16 — a +0.59 gap over their last 4. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
1.4749999999999999
sample size
4
competition tier
2
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.