EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg overperform
OUTPERFORMING XG
Newcastle are scoring 2.33 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.57 — a +0.76 gap over their last 3. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
Published Saturday, September 5, 2026
Newcastle are scoring 2.33 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.57 — a +0.76 gap over their last 3. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_overperform
team id
34
team name
Newcastle
opponent today
Bournemouth
match label
Bournemouth vs Newcastle
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Newcastle are scoring 2.33 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.57 — a +0.76 gap over their last 3. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
1.9
sample size
3
competition tier
2
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.