EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg overperform
OUTPERFORMING XG
Newcastle are scoring 2.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.57 — a +0.43 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
Published Monday, September 14, 2026
Newcastle are scoring 2.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.57 — a +0.43 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_overperform
team id
34
team name
Newcastle
opponent today
Leeds
match label
Newcastle vs Leeds
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Newcastle are scoring 2.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.57 — a +0.43 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
1.075
sample size
5
competition tier
2
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.