EDGEAI

SOCCERedge xg overperform

OUTPERFORMING XG

Napoli are scoring 1.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.38 — a +0.42 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.

Published Wednesday, September 9, 2026

Napoli are scoring 1.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.38 — a +0.42 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.

THE NUMBERS

angle
xg_overperform
team id
492
team name
Napoli
opponent today
Arsenal
match label
Arsenal vs Napoli
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Napoli are scoring 1.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.38 — a +0.42 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
1.0499999999999998
sample size
5
competition tier
1

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.