EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg overperform
OUTPERFORMING XG
AS Roma are scoring 2.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.35 — a +0.45 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
Published Thursday, September 10, 2026
AS Roma are scoring 2.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.35 — a +0.45 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_overperform
team id
497
team name
AS Roma
opponent today
Fenerbahçe
match label
AS Roma vs Fenerbahçe
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
AS Roma are scoring 2.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.35 — a +0.45 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
1.125
sample size
5
competition tier
1
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.