EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg overperform
OUTPERFORMING XG
Chelsea are scoring 3.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.48 — a +1.52 gap over their last 6. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
Published Friday, September 18, 2026
Chelsea are scoring 3.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.48 — a +1.52 gap over their last 6. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_overperform
team id
49
team name
Chelsea
opponent today
Brentford
match label
Chelsea vs Brentford
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Chelsea are scoring 3.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.48 — a +1.52 gap over their last 6. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
3.8
sample size
6
competition tier
2
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.