EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg overperform
OUTPERFORMING XG
Chelsea are scoring 2.57 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.52 — a +1.05 gap over their last 7. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
Published Saturday, October 10, 2026
Chelsea are scoring 2.57 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.52 — a +1.05 gap over their last 7. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_overperform
team id
49
team name
Chelsea
opponent today
Bournemouth
match label
Bournemouth vs Chelsea
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Chelsea are scoring 2.57 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.52 — a +1.05 gap over their last 7. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
2.625
sample size
7
competition tier
2
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.