EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg overperform
OUTPERFORMING XG
Manchester City are scoring 2.50 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.93 — a +0.57 gap over their last 8. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
Published Sunday, October 11, 2026
Manchester City are scoring 2.50 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.93 — a +0.57 gap over their last 8. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_overperform
team id
50
team name
Manchester City
opponent today
Liverpool
match label
Manchester City vs Liverpool
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Manchester City are scoring 2.50 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.93 — a +0.57 gap over their last 8. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
1.4249999999999998
sample size
8
competition tier
2
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.