EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg overperform
OUTPERFORMING XG
Real Madrid are scoring 3.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.85 — a +1.15 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
Published Friday, September 4, 2026
Real Madrid are scoring 3.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.85 — a +1.15 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_overperform
team id
541
team name
Real Madrid
opponent today
Real Betis
match label
Real Madrid vs Real Betis
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Real Madrid are scoring 3.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.85 — a +1.15 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
2.8749999999999996
sample size
5
competition tier
2
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.