EDGEAI

SOCCERedge xg overperform

OUTPERFORMING XG

Real Madrid are scoring 2.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.03 — a +0.77 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.

Published Tuesday, September 8, 2026

Real Madrid are scoring 2.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.03 — a +0.77 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.

THE NUMBERS

angle
xg_overperform
team id
541
team name
Real Madrid
opponent today
Inter
match label
Inter vs Real Madrid
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Real Madrid are scoring 2.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.03 — a +0.77 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
1.925
sample size
5
competition tier
1

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.