EDGEAI

SOCCERedge xg overperform

OUTPERFORMING XG

Real Madrid are scoring 2.67 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.26 — a +0.41 gap over their last 6. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.

Published Tuesday, September 15, 2026

Real Madrid are scoring 2.67 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.26 — a +0.41 gap over their last 6. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.

THE NUMBERS

angle
xg_overperform
team id
541
team name
Real Madrid
opponent today
Elche
match label
Real Madrid vs Elche
headline
OUTPERFORMING XG
detail
Real Madrid are scoring 2.67 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.26 — a +0.41 gap over their last 6. That's running hotter than the underlying process suggests — worth watching whether it holds.
magnitude
1.025
sample size
6
competition tier
2

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.