EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg underperform
UNDERPERFORMING XG
Nottingham Forest are scoring 0.50 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.42 — a -0.92 gap over their last 4. The process is generating fewer goals than the chances deserve — a regression-up case, not a form slump.
Published Saturday, September 12, 2026
Nottingham Forest are scoring 0.50 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.42 — a -0.92 gap over their last 4. The process is generating fewer goals than the chances deserve — a regression-up case, not a form slump.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_underperform
team id
65
team name
Nottingham Forest
opponent today
Aston Villa
match label
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
headline
UNDERPERFORMING XG
detail
Nottingham Forest are scoring 0.50 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.42 — a -0.92 gap over their last 4. The process is generating fewer goals than the chances deserve — a regression-up case, not a form slump.
magnitude
2.3
sample size
4
competition tier
2
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.