EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg underperform
UNDERPERFORMING XG
Nottingham Forest are scoring 0.67 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.40 — a -0.73 gap over their last 6. The process is generating fewer goals than the chances deserve — a regression-up case, not a form slump.
Published Sunday, October 11, 2026
Nottingham Forest are scoring 0.67 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.40 — a -0.73 gap over their last 6. The process is generating fewer goals than the chances deserve — a regression-up case, not a form slump.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_underperform
team id
65
team name
Nottingham Forest
opponent today
Crystal Palace
match label
Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace
headline
UNDERPERFORMING XG
detail
Nottingham Forest are scoring 0.67 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.40 — a -0.73 gap over their last 6. The process is generating fewer goals than the chances deserve — a regression-up case, not a form slump.
magnitude
1.825
sample size
6
competition tier
2
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.