EDGEAI
SOCCERedge xg underperform
UNDERPERFORMING XG
Aston Villa are scoring 0.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.76 — a -0.96 gap over their last 5. The process is generating fewer goals than the chances deserve — a regression-up case, not a form slump.
Published Saturday, September 12, 2026
Aston Villa are scoring 0.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.76 — a -0.96 gap over their last 5. The process is generating fewer goals than the chances deserve — a regression-up case, not a form slump.
THE NUMBERS
angle
xg_underperform
team id
66
team name
Aston Villa
opponent today
Nottingham Forest
match label
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
headline
UNDERPERFORMING XG
detail
Aston Villa are scoring 0.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.76 — a -0.96 gap over their last 5. The process is generating fewer goals than the chances deserve — a regression-up case, not a form slump.
magnitude
2.4
sample size
5
competition tier
2
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.