EDGEAI

TENNISmatch edge comeback edge

75% vs 25%

Toby Samuel has won 75% of the 4 matches where he lost the opening set, against 25% of 8 for Tomas Machac. A win-loss record counts a comeback and a straight-sets win identically, so this is invisible in every headline number either player carries. Toby Samuel is ranked #110 against #58, so the resilience and the ranking disagree. Most useful as live-betting context: it says what a first-set scoreline is actually worth in this pairing.

Published Sunday, August 30, 2026

Toby Samuel has won 75% of the 4 matches where he lost the opening set, against 25% of 8 for Tomas Machac. A win-loss record counts a comeback and a straight-sets win identically, so this is invisible in every headline number either player carries. Toby Samuel is ranked #110 against #58, so the resilience and the ranking disagree. Most useful as live-betting context: it says what a first-set scoreline is actually worth in this pairing.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Toby Samuel ML
-135 at the time this was published

THE NUMBERS

angle
comeback_edge
match
Tomas Machac vs Toby Samuel
league
ATP
surface
Hard
player name
Toby Samuel
opponent name
Tomas Machac
direction
favors
headline
75% vs 25%
detail
Toby Samuel has won 75% of the 4 matches where he lost the opening set, against 25% of 8 for Tomas Machac. A win-loss record counts a comeback and a straight-sets win identically, so this is invisible in every headline number either player carries. Toby Samuel is ranked #110 against #58, so the resilience and the ranking disagree. Most useful as live-betting context: it says what a first-set scoreline is actually worth in this pairing.
player value
0.75
opponent value
0.25
sample size
4
player rank
110
opponent rank
58

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.