EDGEAI

TENNISmatch edge surface mismatch

80% vs 43%

Arthur Gea wins 80% of his hard court matches across 10, against 43% across 7 for Zachary Svajda. Arthur Gea is the LOWER-ranked player here at #87 against #80 — the surface record and the rankings point opposite ways, which is exactly what a rankings-driven price misses. A combined win rate blends every surface together and shows none of it.

Published Thursday, September 3, 2026

Arthur Gea wins 80% of his hard court matches across 10, against 43% across 7 for Zachary Svajda. Arthur Gea is the LOWER-ranked player here at #87 against #80 — the surface record and the rankings point opposite ways, which is exactly what a rankings-driven price misses. A combined win rate blends every surface together and shows none of it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Arthur Gea ML
+110 at the time this was published

THE NUMBERS

angle
surface_mismatch
match
Arthur Gea vs Zachary Svajda
league
ATP
surface
Hard
player name
Arthur Gea
opponent name
Zachary Svajda
direction
favors
headline
80% vs 43%
detail
Arthur Gea wins 80% of his hard court matches across 10, against 43% across 7 for Zachary Svajda. Arthur Gea is the LOWER-ranked player here at #87 against #80 — the surface record and the rankings point opposite ways, which is exactly what a rankings-driven price misses. A combined win rate blends every surface together and shows none of it.
player value
0.8
opponent value
0.43
sample size
7
player rank
87
opponent rank
80

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.