EDGEAI

TENNISmatch edge surface mismatch

60% vs 25%

Jacob Fearnley wins 60% of his hard court matches across 10, against 25% across 4 for Tomas Martin Etcheverry. Jacob Fearnley is the LOWER-ranked player here at #101 against #32 — the surface record and the rankings point opposite ways, which is exactly what a rankings-driven price misses. A combined win rate blends every surface together and shows none of it.

Published Wednesday, September 2, 2026

Jacob Fearnley wins 60% of his hard court matches across 10, against 25% across 4 for Tomas Martin Etcheverry. Jacob Fearnley is the LOWER-ranked player here at #101 against #32 — the surface record and the rankings point opposite ways, which is exactly what a rankings-driven price misses. A combined win rate blends every surface together and shows none of it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Jacob Fearnley ML
+123 at the time this was published

THE NUMBERS

angle
surface_mismatch
match
Jacob Fearnley vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry
league
ATP
surface
Hard
player name
Jacob Fearnley
opponent name
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
direction
favors
headline
60% vs 25%
detail
Jacob Fearnley wins 60% of his hard court matches across 10, against 25% across 4 for Tomas Martin Etcheverry. Jacob Fearnley is the LOWER-ranked player here at #101 against #32 — the surface record and the rankings point opposite ways, which is exactly what a rankings-driven price misses. A combined win rate blends every surface together and shows none of it.
player value
0.6
opponent value
0.25
sample size
4
player rank
101
opponent rank
32

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.