EDGEAI
Insight Archive
Our engines read the play-by-play, the box scores and the market every day, and surface the measurements that are hard to find by hand — a back's share of the work inside the five, a defence's split by play type, a hitter's record against tonight's arsenal. Every finding is kept here exactly as it was written on the day, and never edited afterwards.
9,278
findings archived · 2 months · 35 angles
SPORT
ANGLE
All anglesgoals totals team goals474goal scorer watch456goals totals match total over455shots saves shot volume319matchup dossier matchup dossier179edge home fortress175player form shots rising137player form minutes up127rest rotation congestion117shots saves sot volume110rest rotation rest edge103player form shots falling102team profile ruthless101shots saves keeper volume96
DATE
110 matching on Friday, September 18·clear filters
Friday, September 18·110
OUTPERFORMING XGChelsea
SOCCERedge xg overperform
Chelsea are scoring 3.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.48 — a +1.52 gap over their last 6. That's running hotter than the underlying process
OUTPERFORMING XGMonaco
SOCCERedge xg overperform
Monaco are scoring 2.17 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.02 — a +1.15 gap over their last 6. That's running hotter than the underlying process
ROAD WARRIORSElche
SOCCERedge road warrior
Elche are running a -2.33 goal differential at home versus -0.33 on the road — a 2-goal split across 3 home and 3 away matches. This team is genuinely better aw
OUTPERFORMING XGBayern München
SOCCERedge xg overperform
Bayern München are scoring 3.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.51 — a +0.49 gap over their last 6. That's running hotter than the underlying
UNDERPERFORMING XGNew York Red Bulls
SOCCERedge xg underperform
New York Red Bulls are scoring 0.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.60 — a -0.8 gap over their last 10. The process is generating fewer goals
OUT-SHOOTING OPPONENTSBayern München
SOCCERteam profile shot dominance
Bayern München are taking 18.5 shots a match and allowing 4.67, against a league median of 9.83 and 9.17. Shot volume predicts the next match better than goals
CONCEDING OVER xGAUnion Berlin
SOCCERteam profile defence leaking
Union Berlin are conceding 3 goals a match against an expected 1.95 — a +1.05 gap. They are shipping more than the chances they allow deserve, which tends to co
RUTHLESS ON THE BALLUnion Berlin
SOCCERteam profile ruthless
Union Berlin average 47% possession against a league median of 50.8%, but only 15.25 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the sample
CONCEDING OVER xGAElche
SOCCERteam profile defence leaking
Elche are conceding 2.67 goals a match against an expected 1.76 — a +0.91 gap. They are shipping more than the chances they allow deserve, which tends to correc
STERILE POSSESSIONNew York City FC
SOCCERteam profile sterile possession
New York City FC average 52.6% possession against a league median of 50.8%, but only 4.8 shots a match. Holding the ball without generating attempts is the clas
RUTHLESS ON THE BALLBayern München
SOCCERteam profile ruthless
Bayern München average 69.4% possession against a league median of 50.8%, but only 18.5 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the sam
CONCEDING OVER xGAMonza
SOCCERteam profile defence leaking
Monza are conceding 1.83 goals a match against an expected 1.1 — a +0.73 gap. They are shipping more than the chances they allow deserve, which tends to correct
CONCEDING UNDER xGALens
SOCCERteam profile keeper overperforming
Lens are conceding 1.11 goals a match against an expected 1.79 — a -0.68 gap. A defence conceding well under its expected goals against is usually keeper form o
STERILE POSSESSIONNew York Red Bulls
SOCCERteam profile sterile possession
New York Red Bulls average 50.8% possession against a league median of 50.8%, but only 5.4 shots a match. Holding the ball without generating attempts is the cl
RUTHLESS ON THE BALLChelsea
SOCCERteam profile ruthless
Chelsea average 50.8% possession against a league median of 50.8%, but only 14 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the sample, whic
CONCEDING UNDER xGABrentford
SOCCERteam profile keeper overperforming
Brentford are conceding 1.13 goals a match against an expected 1.71 — a -0.58 gap. A defence conceding well under its expected goals against is usually keeper f
CONCEDING UNDER xGABayern München
SOCCERteam profile keeper overperforming
Bayern München are conceding 0.67 goals a match against an expected 1.24 — a -0.57 gap. A defence conceding well under its expected goals against is usually kee
RUTHLESS ON THE BALLSassuolo
SOCCERteam profile ruthless
Sassuolo average 43.6% possession against a league median of 50.8%, but only 12.17 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the sample,
CORNER HEAVYUnion Berlin
SOCCERteam profile corner heavy
Union Berlin's matches produce 11 corners a game — 4.75 won, 6.25 conceded — against a league median pairing of 7.67. Corners are separately priced and almost n
SHOT VOLUME RISINGMonza
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Patrick Cutrone is taking 7.96 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 0.5 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in
SHOT VOLUME FALLINGElche
SOCCERplayer form shots falling
Abiel Osorio is taking 1.5 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 7.71 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in ho
SHOT VOLUME FALLINGUnion Berlin
SOCCERplayer form shots falling
Tim Skarke is taking 0 shots per 90 over his last 1, against 6.21 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how of
SHOT VOLUME FALLINGUnion Berlin
SOCCERplayer form shots falling
Marin Ljubičić is taking 2 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 6.98 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in ho
SHOT VOLUME FALLINGEspanyol
SOCCERplayer form shots falling
Marcos Fernández is taking 2.36 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 6.6 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change i
ROLE SHRINKINGEspanyol
SOCCERplayer form minutes down
Unai Núñez has averaged 0 minutes across his last 2 against 88.7 over the 3 before that — -88.7 minutes a match. His per-match averages are still carrying the w
SHOT VOLUME RISINGLens
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Florian Thauvin is taking 6 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 2.33 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in h
SHOT VOLUME RISINGNew York Red Bulls
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Cade Cowell is taking 4.55 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 0.9 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how
SHOT VOLUME RISINGSassuolo
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Domenico Berardi is taking 3.63 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 0 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in
SHOT VOLUME FALLINGLens
SOCCERplayer form shots falling
Andrija Bulatović is taking 2.5 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 6 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in
SHOT VOLUME RISINGBayern München
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Joshua Kimmich is taking 3.49 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 0.33 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in
ROLE EXPANDINGLens
SOCCERplayer form minutes up
Andrija Bulatović has averaged 90 minutes across his last 2 against 19.7 over the 3 before that — +70.3 minutes a match. Minutes are opportunity, and every play
ROLE SHRINKINGSassuolo
SOCCERplayer form minutes down
Darryl Bakola has averaged 22.5 minutes across his last 2 against 90 over the 2 before that — -67.5 minutes a match. His per-match averages are still carrying t
SHOT VOLUME FALLINGElche
SOCCERplayer form shots falling
Facundo Buonanotte is taking 1.3 shots per 90 over his last 1, against 4.27 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change
SHOT VOLUME FALLINGSassuolo
SOCCERplayer form shots falling
Armand Laurienté is taking 0.5 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 3.33 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change i
6 days rest vs 3Chelsea
SOCCERrest rotation rest edge
REST ADVANTAGE
6 days rest vs 3Watford
SOCCERrest rotation rest edge
REST ADVANTAGE
3 matches in 12 daysChelsea
SOCCERrest rotation congestion
CONGESTED RUN
3 matches in 12 daysEspanyol
SOCCERrest rotation congestion
CONGESTED RUN
3 matches in 12 daysElche
SOCCERrest rotation congestion
CONGESTED RUN
7 days rest vs 5Union Berlin
SOCCERrest rotation rest edge
REST ADVANTAGE
5/5Espanyol
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/5Elche
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES LOCK-IN
5/5Monaco
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES LOCK-IN
5/5Lens
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES LOCK-IN
5/5Bristol City
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/5New York City FC
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
4/5New York City FC
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES
4/5Chelsea
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Lens
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Watford
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES
4/5New York Red Bulls
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES
4/5Espanyol
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES
4/5Bayern München
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Monaco
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Lens
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
SHOTS ON TARGET
4/5Bristol City
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Brentford
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Chelsea
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
SHOTS ON TARGET
4/5Chelsea
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Bayern München
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
SHOTS ON TARGET
4/5Monaco
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
SHOTS ON TARGET
4/5Monaco
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Lens
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Bristol City
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5New York City FC
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
SHOTS ON TARGET
8/8Brentford
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
RELIABLE SCORERS
8/8Brentford
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
GOALS FLOW
6/6Espanyol
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
RELIABLE SCORERS
6/6Espanyol
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
GOALS FLOW
6/6Elche
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
GOALS FLOW
6/6Monza
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
RELIABLE SCORERS
6/6Sassuolo
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
RELIABLE SCORERS
6/6Monaco
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
RELIABLE SCORERS
9/10New York City FC
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
RELIABLE SCORERS
9/10New York City FC
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
GOALS FLOW
5/6Chelsea
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
5/6Chelsea
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
5/6Elche
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
5/6Bayern München
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
5/6Bayern München
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
5/6Monza
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
5/6Sassuolo
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
5/6Monaco
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
7/9Lens
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
7/9Watford
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
7/9Watford
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
6/8Bristol City
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
7/10New York Red Bulls
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
6.6/matchChelsea
SOCCERgoals totals team sot high
HIGH SOT VOLUME
3.4/matchEspanyol
SOCCERgoals totals team sot low
LOW SOT VOLUME
8.2/matchBayern München
SOCCERgoals totals team sot high
HIGH SOT VOLUME
7/matchUnion Berlin
SOCCERgoals totals team sot high
HIGH SOT VOLUME
6.4/matchMonza
SOCCERgoals totals team sot high
HIGH SOT VOLUME
7.2/matchLens
SOCCERgoals totals team sot high
HIGH SOT VOLUME
3.4/matchWatford
SOCCERgoals totals team sot low
LOW SOT VOLUME
3.4/matchNew York City FC
SOCCERgoals totals team sot low
LOW SOT VOLUME
10 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
8 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
5 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
9 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
7 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
4 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
Florian ThauvinLens
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Lens @ Monaco
Callum WilsonBrentford
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Chelsea @ Brentford
Vasilije AdžićSassuolo
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Sassuolo @ Monza
Luis DíazBayern München
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Union Berlin @ Bayern München
Dany MotaMonza
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Sassuolo @ Monza
Mika BierethMonaco
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Lens @ Monaco
Jay RobinsonMonza
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Sassuolo @ Monza
Aleksandar PavlovićBayern München
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Union Berlin @ Bayern München
Records are written once, when a finding is first published, and never updated. Data-availability skips and unpublished candidates are not archived here. Records written before 11 September 2026 carry no summary line or portrait — the archive is not backfilled.