EDGEAI
Insight Archive
Our engines read the play-by-play, the box scores and the market every day, and surface the measurements that are hard to find by hand — a back's share of the work inside the five, a defence's split by play type, a hitter's record against tonight's arsenal. Every finding is kept here exactly as it was written on the day, and never edited afterwards.
9,278
findings archived · 2 months · 35 angles
SPORT
ANGLE
All anglesgoals totals team goals474goal scorer watch456goals totals match total over455shots saves shot volume319matchup dossier matchup dossier179edge home fortress175player form shots rising137player form minutes up127rest rotation congestion117shots saves sot volume110rest rotation rest edge103player form shots falling102team profile ruthless101shots saves keeper volume96
DATE
121 matching on Saturday, September 26·clear filters
Saturday, September 26·121
HOME FORTRESSFC Cincinnati
SOCCERedge home fortress
FC Cincinnati are running a +0.67 goal differential at home versus -2.25 on the road — a 2.92-goal split across 6 home and 4 away matches. A real venue effect w
UNDERPERFORMING XGNew York Red Bulls
SOCCERedge xg underperform
New York Red Bulls are scoring 0.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.66 — a -0.86 gap over their last 10. The process is generating fewer goals
OUTPERFORMING XGSt. Louis City
SOCCERedge xg overperform
St. Louis City are scoring 2.50 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.88 — a +0.62 gap over their last 10. That's running hotter than the underlying
HOME FORTRESSToluca
SOCCERedge home fortress
Toluca are running a +2 goal differential at home versus +0.67 on the road — a 1.33-goal split across 7 home and 3 away matches. A real venue effect worth weigh
OUTPERFORMING XGGuadalajara Chivas
SOCCERedge xg overperform
Guadalajara Chivas are scoring 1.90 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.42 — a +0.48 gap over their last 10. That's running hotter than the underl
HOME FORTRESSCF Montreal
SOCCERedge home fortress
CF Montreal are running a -0.4 goal differential at home versus -1.6 on the road — a 1.2-goal split across 5 home and 5 away matches. A real venue effect worth
OUTPERFORMING XGCharlotte
SOCCERedge xg overperform
Charlotte are scoring 2.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.52 — a +0.48 gap over their last 10. That's running hotter than the underlying proc
HOME FORTRESSOrlando City SC
SOCCERedge home fortress
Orlando City SC are running a +0.67 goal differential at home versus -0.5 on the road — a 1.17-goal split across 6 home and 4 away matches. A real venue effect
OUTPERFORMING XGPhiladelphia Union
SOCCERedge xg overperform
Philadelphia Union are scoring 2.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.34 — a +0.46 gap over their last 10. That's running hotter than the underl
HOME FORTRESSMonterrey
SOCCERedge home fortress
Monterrey are running a +1 goal differential at home versus -1.5 on the road — a 2.5-goal split across 6 home and 4 away matches. A real venue effect worth weig
HOME FORTRESSClub Tijuana
SOCCERedge home fortress
Club Tijuana are running a +0.25 goal differential at home versus -1.33 on the road — a 1.58-goal split across 4 home and 6 away matches. A real venue effect wo
OUT-SHOOTING OPPONENTSPhiladelphia Union
SOCCERteam profile shot dominance
Philadelphia Union are taking 8.9 shots a match and allowing 3.7, against a league median of 5.3 and 6.3. Shot volume predicts the next match better than goals
RUTHLESS ON THE BALLToluca
SOCCERteam profile ruthless
Toluca average 52% possession against a league median of 52.4%, but only 9.6 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the sample, which
RUTHLESS ON THE BALLPhiladelphia Union
SOCCERteam profile ruthless
Philadelphia Union average 50.8% possession against a league median of 52.4%, but only 8.9 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the
BEING OUT-SHOTCharlotte
SOCCERteam profile shot deficit
Charlotte are taking 5.2 shots a match and allowing 11.2, against a league median of 5.3 and 6.3. They are being pinned back more than the scoreline suggests. R
RUTHLESS ON THE BALLFC Cincinnati
SOCCERteam profile ruthless
FC Cincinnati average 55.4% possession against a league median of 52.4%, but only 8.8 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the sampl
OUT-SHOOTING OPPONENTSFC Cincinnati
SOCCERteam profile shot dominance
FC Cincinnati are taking 8.8 shots a match and allowing 6.4, against a league median of 5.3 and 6.3. Shot volume predicts the next match better than goals do, b
CORNER HEAVYToluca
SOCCERteam profile corner heavy
Toluca's matches produce 7.6 corners a game — 2.9 won, 4.7 conceded — against a league median pairing of 4.8. Corners are separately priced and almost nobody mo
RUTHLESS ON THE BALLClub Queretaro
SOCCERteam profile ruthless
Club Queretaro average 40.2% possession against a league median of 52.4%, but only 6.5 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the samp
RUTHLESS ON THE BALLChicago Fire
SOCCERteam profile ruthless
Chicago Fire average 52.4% possession against a league median of 52.4%, but only 7.7 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the sample
RUTHLESS ON THE BALLAtlanta United FC
SOCCERteam profile ruthless
Atlanta United FC average 53.2% possession against a league median of 52.4%, but only 7.5 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the s
CONCEDING UNDER xGACharlotte
SOCCERteam profile keeper overperforming
Charlotte are conceding 1.1 goals a match against an expected 1.67 — a -0.57 gap. A defence conceding well under its expected goals against is usually keeper fo
OUT-SHOOTING OPPONENTSAtlanta United FC
SOCCERteam profile shot dominance
Atlanta United FC are taking 7.5 shots a match and allowing 6, against a league median of 5.3 and 6.3. Shot volume predicts the next match better than goals do,
CONCEDING UNDER xGANew York Red Bulls
SOCCERteam profile keeper overperforming
New York Red Bulls are conceding 1.3 goals a match against an expected 1.84 — a -0.54 gap. A defence conceding well under its expected goals against is usually
CORNER HEAVYCharlotte
SOCCERteam profile corner heavy
Charlotte's matches produce 6.8 corners a game — 2.4 won, 4.4 conceded — against a league median pairing of 4.8. Corners are separately priced and almost nobody
SHOT VOLUME FALLINGToluca
SOCCERplayer form shots falling
Jorge Díaz is taking 0 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 7.98 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how of
SHOT VOLUME FALLINGPhiladelphia Union
SOCCERplayer form shots falling
Quinn Sullivan is taking 0.85 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 5.19 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in
SHOT VOLUME FALLINGPhiladelphia Union
SOCCERplayer form shots falling
Milan Iloski is taking 2.67 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 6.48 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in h
SHOT VOLUME RISINGFC Cincinnati
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Kévin Denkey is taking 4.5 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 1 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how o
SHOT VOLUME FALLINGCF Montreal
SOCCERplayer form shots falling
Wikelman Carmona is taking 0.78 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 4.22 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change
SHOT VOLUME FALLINGFC Cincinnati
SOCCERplayer form shots falling
Evander is taking 1 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 4.03 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how often
ROLE EXPANDINGNew York Red Bulls
SOCCERplayer form minutes up
Tim Parker has averaged 68 minutes across his last 2 against 0 over the 3 before that — +68 minutes a match. Minutes are opportunity, and every player prop on h
SHOT VOLUME RISINGSt. Louis City
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Simon Becher is taking 4.59 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 1.69 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in h
SHOT VOLUME RISINGToluca
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Paulinho is taking 4.9 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 2 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how often
SHOT VOLUME RISINGNew York Red Bulls
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Cade Cowell is taking 4.29 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 1.43 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in ho
ROLE EXPANDINGOrlando City SC
SOCCERplayer form minutes up
Marco Pašalić has averaged 75.5 minutes across his last 2 against 15.5 over the 2 before that — +60 minutes a match. Minutes are opportunity, and every player p
ROLE SHRINKINGNew York City FC
SOCCERplayer form minutes down
Mitja Ilenič has averaged 0 minutes across his last 2 against 60 over the 3 before that — -60 minutes a match. His per-match averages are still carrying the wei
ROLE SHRINKINGNew York City FC
SOCCERplayer form minutes down
Bénie Traoré has averaged 23 minutes across his last 2 against 80.7 over the 3 before that — -57.7 minutes a match. His per-match averages are still carrying th
ROLE SHRINKINGNew York Red Bulls
SOCCERplayer form minutes down
Emil Forsberg has averaged 0 minutes across his last 2 against 57.7 over the 3 before that — -57.7 minutes a match. His per-match averages are still carrying th
ROLE EXPANDINGToluca
SOCCERplayer form minutes up
Paulinho has averaged 85 minutes across his last 2 against 28.5 over the 2 before that — +56.5 minutes a match. Minutes are opportunity, and every player prop o
6/6Toluca
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/5Philadelphia Union
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
6/6Toluca
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/5Toluca
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/5Club Queretaro
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/5New York City FC
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/6Toluca
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
SHOTS ON TARGET
4/5Charlotte
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES
4/5Club Queretaro
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES
4/5New York Red Bulls
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES
4/5New York City FC
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES
4/5Club Queretaro
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Philadelphia Union
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES
4/5Chicago Fire
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Club Queretaro
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
SHOTS ON TARGET
4/5Philadelphia Union
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
SHOTS ON TARGET
4/5Philadelphia Union
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Philadelphia Union
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Atlanta United FC
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Charlotte
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Chicago Fire
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
SHOTS ON TARGET
4/5Chicago Fire
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Chicago Fire
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
SHOTS ON TARGET
4/5Chicago Fire
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
10/10Atlas
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
GOALS FLOW
10/10Orlando City SC
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
RELIABLE SCORERS
9/10Atlas
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
RELIABLE SCORERS
9/10Guadalajara Chivas
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
RELIABLE SCORERS
9/10CF Montreal
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
GOALS FLOW
9/10Chicago Fire
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
RELIABLE SCORERS
8/10Atlante FC
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
8/10Monterrey
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
8/10Toluca
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
8/10Toluca
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
8/10Guadalajara Chivas
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
8/10Club Queretaro
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
8/10Philadelphia Union
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
8/10Orlando City SC
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
8/10St. Louis City
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
8/10St. Louis City
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
8/10Atlanta United FC
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
8/10New York City FC
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
8/10New York City FC
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
8/10FC Cincinnati
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
8/10Charlotte
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
8/10Charlotte
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
8/10Chicago Fire
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
7/10Monterrey
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
7/10Club Tijuana
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
7/10Cruz Azul
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
7/10Cruz Azul
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
7/10Club Queretaro
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
7/10Philadelphia Union
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
7/10New York Red Bulls
SOCCERgoals totals match total under
UNDERS
7/10Atlanta United FC
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
7/10CF Montreal
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
7/10FC Cincinnati
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
2.5/matchAtlas
SOCCERgoals totals team sot low
LOW SOT VOLUME
6.8/matchCruz Azul
SOCCERgoals totals team sot high
HIGH SOT VOLUME
6.8/matchPhiladelphia Union
SOCCERgoals totals team sot high
HIGH SOT VOLUME
6.3/matchOrlando City SC
SOCCERgoals totals team sot high
HIGH SOT VOLUME
3/matchNew York Red Bulls
SOCCERgoals totals team sot low
LOW SOT VOLUME
6.5/matchSt. Louis City
SOCCERgoals totals team sot high
HIGH SOT VOLUME
3.2/matchAtlanta United FC
SOCCERgoals totals team sot low
LOW SOT VOLUME
4 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
4 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
4 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
3 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
2 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
1 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
Kévin DenkeyFC Cincinnati
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
FC Cincinnati @ CF Montreal
Iván AnguloOrlando City SC
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Orlando City SC @ Philadelphia Union
Simon BecherSt. Louis City
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
St. Louis City @ New York Red Bulls
Carlo HolseSt. Louis City
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
St. Louis City @ New York Red Bulls
Maren Haile-SelassieChicago Fire
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Chicago Fire @ Charlotte
Malik JakupovicPhiladelphia Union
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Orlando City SC @ Philadelphia Union
Martín OjedaOrlando City SC
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Orlando City SC @ Philadelphia Union
Julian HallNew York Red Bulls
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
St. Louis City @ New York Red Bulls
Pep BielCharlotte
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Chicago Fire @ Charlotte
Quinn SullivanPhiladelphia Union
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Orlando City SC @ Philadelphia Union
Breel EmboloAtlanta United FC
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
New York City FC @ Atlanta United FC
Records are written once, when a finding is first published, and never updated. Data-availability skips and unpublished candidates are not archived here. Records written before 11 September 2026 carry no summary line or portrait — the archive is not backfilled.