EDGEAI

Insight Archive

Our engines read the play-by-play, the box scores and the market every day, and surface the measurements that are hard to find by hand — a back's share of the work inside the five, a defence's split by play type, a hitter's record against tonight's arsenal. Every finding is kept here exactly as it was written on the day, and never edited afterwards.

9,278

findings archived · 2 months · 35 angles

SPORT

All9278 MLB5292 SOCCER3704 TENNIS159 UFC78 NFL45

ANGLE

All angles goals totals team goals474 goal scorer watch456 goals totals match total over455 shots saves shot volume319 matchup dossier matchup dossier179 edge home fortress175 player form shots rising137 player form minutes up127 rest rotation congestion117 shots saves sot volume110 rest rotation rest edge103 player form shots falling102 team profile ruthless101 shots saves keeper volume96

DATE

Sep 28 Sep 27 Sep 26 Sep 24 Sep 21 Sep 20 Sep 19 Sep 18 Sep 17 Sep 16

← Sep 15 Sep 17 →

122 matching on Wednesday, September 16·clear filters

Wednesday, September 16·122

OUTPERFORMING XGBarcelona

SOCCERedge xg overperform

Barcelona are scoring 4.33 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.47 — a +1.86 gap over their last 6. That's running hotter than the underlying proce

OUTPERFORMING XGBenfica

SOCCERedge xg overperform

Benfica are scoring 3.40 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.56 — a +0.84 gap over their last 10. That's running hotter than the underlying proces

HOME FORTRESSArarat-Armenia

SOCCERedge home fortress

Ararat-Armenia are running a +1.33 goal differential at home versus -0.5 on the road — a 1.83-goal split across 6 home and 4 away matches. A real venue effect w

HOME FORTRESSDinamo Zagreb

SOCCERedge home fortress

Dinamo Zagreb are running a +1.75 goal differential at home versus +0.17 on the road — a 1.58-goal split across 4 home and 6 away matches. A real venue effect w

OUTPERFORMING XGAZ Alkmaar

SOCCERedge xg overperform

AZ Alkmaar are scoring 3.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.39 — a +0.61 gap over their last 7. That's running hotter than the underlying proc

OUTPERFORMING XGDeportivo La Coruna

SOCCERedge xg overperform

Deportivo La Coruna are scoring 1.80 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.20 — a +0.6 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underly

OUTPERFORMING XGAtletico Madrid

SOCCERedge xg overperform

Atletico Madrid are scoring 1.83 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.35 — a +0.48 gap over their last 6. That's running hotter than the underlying

ROAD WARRIORSBenfica

SOCCERedge road warrior

Benfica are running a +2 goal differential at home versus +3.2 on the road — a 1.2-goal split across 5 home and 5 away matches. This team is genuinely better aw

OUTPERFORMING XGJagiellonia

SOCCERedge xg overperform

Jagiellonia are scoring 1.90 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.42 — a +0.48 gap over their last 10. That's running hotter than the underlying pr

OUTPERFORMING XGSparta Praha

SOCCERedge xg overperform

Sparta Praha are scoring 2.10 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.63 — a +0.47 gap over their last 10. That's running hotter than the underlying p

OUTPERFORMING XGSevilla

SOCCERedge xg overperform

Sevilla are scoring 1.60 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.14 — a +0.46 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying process

UNDERPERFORMING XGCelta Vigo

SOCCERedge xg underperform

Celta Vigo are scoring 0.50 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 0.90 — a -0.4 gap over their last 6. The process is generating fewer goals than the

ROAD WARRIORSCelta Vigo

SOCCERedge road warrior

Celta Vigo are running a -1 goal differential at home versus 0 on the road — a 1-goal split across 3 home and 3 away matches. This team is genuinely better away

HOME FORTRESSAnderlecht

SOCCERedge home fortress

Anderlecht are running a +1.2 goal differential at home versus +0.2 on the road — a 1-goal split across 5 home and 5 away matches. A real venue effect worth wei

ROAD WARRIORSBarcelona

SOCCERedge road warrior

Barcelona are running a +3 goal differential at home versus +4 on the road — a 1-goal split across 3 home and 3 away matches. This team is genuinely better away

RUTHLESS ON THE BALLBayer Leverkusen

SOCCERteam profile ruthless

Bayer Leverkusen average 66.25% possession against a league median of 50.2%, but only 22.75 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the

OUT-SHOOTING OPPONENTSBayer Leverkusen

SOCCERteam profile shot dominance

Bayer Leverkusen are taking 22.75 shots a match and allowing 7.5, against a league median of 8.63 and 7.5. Shot volume predicts the next match better than goals

RUTHLESS ON THE BALLManchester United

SOCCERteam profile ruthless

Manchester United average 60% possession against a league median of 50.2%, but only 21 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the samp

RUTHLESS ON THE BALLEverton

SOCCERteam profile ruthless

Everton average 46.8% possession against a league median of 50.2%, but only 17.6 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the sample, wh

OUT-SHOOTING OPPONENTSBarcelona

SOCCERteam profile shot dominance

Barcelona are taking 18.17 shots a match and allowing 6, against a league median of 8.63 and 7.5. Shot volume predicts the next match better than goals do, beca

STERILE POSSESSIONCelje

SOCCERteam profile sterile possession

Celje average 62% possession against a league median of 50.2%, but only 2 shots a match. Holding the ball without generating attempts is the classic profile of

STERILE POSSESSIONArarat-Armenia

SOCCERteam profile sterile possession

Ararat-Armenia average 49% possession against a league median of 50.2%, but only 0 shots a match. Holding the ball without generating attempts is the classic pr

RUTHLESS ON THE BALLRennes

SOCCERteam profile ruthless

Rennes average 50% possession against a league median of 50.2%, but only 17 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the sample, which m

CORNER HEAVYRacing Santander

SOCCERteam profile corner heavy

Racing Santander's matches produce 14 corners a game — 5.4 won, 8.6 conceded — against a league median pairing of 6.33. Corners are separately priced and almost

STERILE POSSESSIONOmonia Nicosia

SOCCERteam profile sterile possession

Omonia Nicosia average 47% possession against a league median of 50.2%, but only 0 shots a match. Holding the ball without generating attempts is the classic pr

OUT-SHOOTING OPPONENTSManchester United

SOCCERteam profile shot dominance

Manchester United are taking 21 shots a match and allowing 10.4, against a league median of 8.63 and 7.5. Shot volume predicts the next match better than goals

CORNER HEAVYRennes

SOCCERteam profile corner heavy

Rennes's matches produce 12.5 corners a game — 4.25 won, 8.25 conceded — against a league median pairing of 6.33. Corners are separately priced and almost nobod

OUT-SHOOTING OPPONENTSAZ Alkmaar

SOCCERteam profile shot dominance

AZ Alkmaar are taking 15.43 shots a match and allowing 6.29, against a league median of 8.63 and 7.5. Shot volume predicts the next match better than goals do,

BEING OUT-SHOTSheffield Utd

SOCCERteam profile shot deficit

Sheffield Utd are taking 4.78 shots a match and allowing 11.22, against a league median of 8.63 and 7.5. They are being pinned back more than the scoreline sugg

SHOT VOLUME RISINGBayer Leverkusen

SOCCERplayer form shots rising

Patrik Schick is taking 8.68 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 3.84 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in

SHOT VOLUME FALLINGAC Milan

SOCCERplayer form shots falling

Gonçalo Ramos is taking 0.53 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 5 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how

SHOT VOLUME RISINGBenfica

SOCCERplayer form shots rising

A. Schjelderup is taking 3.75 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 0 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in ho

SHOT VOLUME FALLINGJagiellonia

SOCCERplayer form shots falling

Sergio Lozano is taking 0 shots per 90 over his last 1, against 3.53 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how

ROLE SHRINKINGAnderlecht

SOCCERplayer form minutes down

Enric Llansana has averaged 18 minutes across his last 2 against 90 over the 2 before that — -72 minutes a match. His per-match averages are still carrying the

ROLE SHRINKINGAnderlecht

SOCCERplayer form minutes down

Mihajlo Cvetković has averaged 12.5 minutes across his last 2 against 82 over the 2 before that — -69.5 minutes a match. His per-match averages are still carryi

SHOT VOLUME RISINGCelta Vigo

SOCCERplayer form shots rising

Hugo González is taking 3.08 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 0 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how

ROLE SHRINKINGBenfica

SOCCERplayer form minutes down

H. Sudakov has averaged 2 minutes across his last 2 against 71 over the 2 before that — -69 minutes a match. His per-match averages are still carrying the weigh

ROLE EXPANDINGAtletico Madrid

SOCCERplayer form minutes up

Cristian Romero has averaged 83.5 minutes across his last 2 against 15.5 over the 2 before that — +68 minutes a match. Minutes are opportunity, and every player

ROLE SHRINKINGJagiellonia

SOCCERplayer form minutes down

Eryk Kozłowski has averaged 0.5 minutes across his last 2 against 68.5 over the 2 before that — -68 minutes a match. His per-match averages are still carrying t

SHOT VOLUME FALLINGBenfica

SOCCERplayer form shots falling

João Palhinha is taking 1 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 3.93 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how

ROLE SHRINKINGDeportivo La Coruna

SOCCERplayer form minutes down

Bright Ede has averaged 0 minutes across his last 2 against 65.3 over the 3 before that — -65.3 minutes a match. His per-match averages are still carrying the w

ROLE EXPANDINGAnderlecht

SOCCERplayer form minutes up

Tawfik Bentayeb has averaged 77.5 minutes across his last 2 against 13.5 over the 2 before that — +64 minutes a match. Minutes are opportunity, and every player

ROLE EXPANDINGLyon

SOCCERplayer form minutes up

Pavel Šulc has averaged 78.5 minutes across his last 2 against 17 over the 3 before that — +61.5 minutes a match. Minutes are opportunity, and every player prop

ROLE SHRINKINGJagiellonia

SOCCERplayer form minutes down

Rodrigo Conceição has averaged 28.5 minutes across his last 2 against 89.5 over the 2 before that — -61 minutes a match. His per-match averages are still carryi

3 matches in 12 daysAtletico Madrid

SOCCERrest rotation congestion

5 days rest vs 3Sevilla

SOCCERrest rotation rest edge

3 matches in 12 daysBarcelona

SOCCERrest rotation congestion

3 matches in 12 daysSparta Praha

SOCCERrest rotation congestion

3 matches in 12 daysBenfica

SOCCERrest rotation congestion

3 matches in 12 daysOlympiakos Piraeus

SOCCERrest rotation congestion

3 matches in 12 daysDinamo Zagreb

SOCCERrest rotation congestion

5 days rest vs 3Rennes

SOCCERrest rotation rest edge

3 matches in 12 daysSunderland

SOCCERrest rotation congestion

3 matches in 12 daysSheffield Utd

SOCCERrest rotation congestion

3 matches in 12 daysManchester United

SOCCERrest rotation congestion

3 matches in 12 daysAston Villa

SOCCERrest rotation congestion

5/5Deportivo La Coruna

SOCCERshots saves sot volume

100% SHOTS ON TARGET

4/5Atletico Madrid

SOCCERshots saves keeper volume

4/5Deportivo La Coruna

SOCCERshots saves keeper volume

4/5Deportivo La Coruna

SOCCERshots saves shot volume

SOCCERshots saves keeper volume

SOCCERshots saves keeper volume

4/5Atletico Madrid

SOCCERshots saves shot volume

SOCCERshots saves shot volume

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

RELIABLE SCORERS

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

9/10Hapoel Beer Sheva

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

RELIABLE SCORERS

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

RELIABLE SCORERS

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

RELIABLE SCORERS

7/8Fleetwood Town

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

RELIABLE SCORERS

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

RELIABLE SCORERS

5/6Atletico Madrid

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

5/6Atletico Madrid

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

SOCCERgoals totals match total under

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

8/10Ararat-Armenia

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

8/10Ararat-Armenia

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

8/10Sparta Praha

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

8/10Jagiellonia

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

7/9Dinamo Zagreb

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

7/9Dinamo Zagreb

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

6/8Olympiakos Piraeus

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

SOCCERgoals totals match total under

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

6/8Fleetwood Town

SOCCERgoals totals match total under

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

7/10Omonia Nicosia

SOCCERgoals totals match total under

7/10Sparta Praha

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

7/10Jagiellonia

SOCCERgoals totals match total over

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

7/10Hapoel Beer Sheva

SOCCERgoals totals team goals

SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier

SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier

SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier

SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier

SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier

SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier

SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier

Ante BudimirOsasuna

SOCCERgoal scorer watch

Osasuna @ Atletico Madrid

Yassir ZabiriRacing Santander

SOCCERgoal scorer watch

Racing Santander @ Barcelona

Andrés MartínRacing Santander

SOCCERgoal scorer watch

Racing Santander @ Barcelona

Alex BaenaAtletico Madrid

SOCCERgoal scorer watch

Osasuna @ Atletico Madrid

Robert NavarroAthletic Club

SOCCERgoal scorer watch

Athletic Club @ Levante

Iván RomeroLevante

SOCCERgoal scorer watch

Athletic Club @ Levante

Giuliano SimeoneAtletico Madrid

SOCCERgoal scorer watch

Osasuna @ Atletico Madrid

Ademola LookmanAtletico Madrid

SOCCERgoal scorer watch

Osasuna @ Atletico Madrid

Alejandro GrimaldoAtletico Madrid

SOCCERgoal scorer watch

Osasuna @ Atletico Madrid

Iñaki WilliamsAthletic Club

SOCCERgoal scorer watch

Athletic Club @ Levante

Álex BerenguerAthletic Club

SOCCERgoal scorer watch

Athletic Club @ Levante

Records are written once, when a finding is first published, and never updated. Data-availability skips and unpublished candidates are not archived here. Records written before 11 September 2026 carry no summary line or portrait — the archive is not backfilled.