EDGEAI
Insight Archive
Our engines read the play-by-play, the box scores and the market every day, and surface the measurements that are hard to find by hand — a back's share of the work inside the five, a defence's split by play type, a hitter's record against tonight's arsenal. Every finding is kept here exactly as it was written on the day, and never edited afterwards.
9,278
findings archived · 2 months · 35 angles
SPORT
ANGLE
All anglesgoals totals team goals474goal scorer watch456goals totals match total over455shots saves shot volume319matchup dossier matchup dossier179edge home fortress175player form shots rising137player form minutes up127rest rotation congestion117shots saves sot volume110rest rotation rest edge103player form shots falling102team profile ruthless101shots saves keeper volume96
DATE
140 matching on Tuesday, September 15·clear filters
Tuesday, September 15·140
UNDERPERFORMING XGValencia
SOCCERedge xg underperform
Valencia are scoring 0.20 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.00 — a -0.8 gap over their last 5. The process is generating fewer goals than the ch
OUTPERFORMING XGAlaves
SOCCERedge xg overperform
Alaves are scoring 2.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.42 — a +0.58 gap over their last 6. That's running hotter than the underlying process
OUTPERFORMING XGEspanyol
SOCCERedge xg overperform
Espanyol are scoring 1.60 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.18 — a +0.42 gap over their last 5. That's running hotter than the underlying proces
OUTPERFORMING XGReal Madrid
SOCCERedge xg overperform
Real Madrid are scoring 2.67 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.26 — a +0.41 gap over their last 6. That's running hotter than the underlying pro
OUTPERFORMING XGWest Ham
SOCCERedge xg overperform
West Ham are scoring 3.00 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 2.31 — a +0.69 gap over their last 9. That's running hotter than the underlying proces
UNDERPERFORMING XGPeterborough
SOCCERedge xg underperform
Peterborough are scoring 1.25 goals a match against an expected-goals rate of 1.85 — a -0.6 gap over their last 8. The process is generating fewer goals than th
HOME FORTRESSMiddlesbrough
SOCCERedge home fortress
Middlesbrough are running a +1.25 goal differential at home versus -0.2 on the road — a 1.45-goal split across 4 home and 5 away matches. A real venue effect wo
HOME FORTRESSWest Ham
SOCCERedge home fortress
West Ham are running a +2.4 goal differential at home versus +1 on the road — a 1.4-goal split across 5 home and 4 away matches. A real venue effect worth weigh
HOME FORTRESSMillwall
SOCCERedge home fortress
Millwall are running a +0.75 goal differential at home versus -0.6 on the road — a 1.35-goal split across 4 home and 5 away matches. A real venue effect worth w
HOME FORTRESSReading
SOCCERedge home fortress
Reading are running a +1.5 goal differential at home versus +0.4 on the road — a 1.1-goal split across 4 home and 5 away matches. A real venue effect worth weig
HOME FORTRESSLeon
SOCCERedge home fortress
Leon are running a +2 goal differential at home versus -0.17 on the road — a 2.17-goal split across 4 home and 6 away matches. A real venue effect worth weighin
RUTHLESS ON THE BALLReal Madrid
SOCCERteam profile ruthless
Real Madrid average 53.33% possession against a league median of 50.8%, but only 20 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the sample,
CORNER HEAVYReal Madrid
SOCCERteam profile corner heavy
Real Madrid's matches produce 13.5 corners a game — 7.67 won, 5.83 conceded — against a league median pairing of 6.44. Corners are separately priced and almost
CORNER HEAVYTottenham
SOCCERteam profile corner heavy
Tottenham's matches produce 13.2 corners a game — 7.6 won, 5.6 conceded — against a league median pairing of 6.44. Corners are separately priced and almost nobo
BEING OUT-SHOTIpswich
SOCCERteam profile shot deficit
Ipswich are taking 12 shots a match and allowing 17.4, against a league median of 10 and 8.88. They are being pinned back more than the scoreline suggests. Resu
BEING OUT-SHOTValencia
SOCCERteam profile shot deficit
Valencia are taking 8.4 shots a match and allowing 14.2, against a league median of 10 and 8.88. They are being pinned back more than the scoreline suggests. Re
RUTHLESS ON THE BALLFulham
SOCCERteam profile ruthless
Fulham average 61.6% possession against a league median of 50.8%, but only 17.8 shots a match. They do more with less of the ball than anyone in the sample, whi
CONCEDING OVER xGAElche
SOCCERteam profile defence leaking
Elche are conceding 2.33 goals a match against an expected 1.5 — a +0.83 gap. They are shipping more than the chances they allow deserve, which tends to correct
CORNER HEAVYRayo Vallecano
SOCCERteam profile corner heavy
Rayo Vallecano's matches produce 10.67 corners a game — 5 won, 5.67 conceded — against a league median pairing of 6.44. Corners are separately priced and almost
BEING OUT-SHOTRayo Vallecano
SOCCERteam profile shot deficit
Rayo Vallecano are taking 9.83 shots a match and allowing 14.5, against a league median of 10 and 8.88. They are being pinned back more than the scoreline sugge
CONCEDING OVER xGARayo Vallecano
SOCCERteam profile defence leaking
Rayo Vallecano are conceding 2.5 goals a match against an expected 1.72 — a +0.78 gap. They are shipping more than the chances they allow deserve, which tends t
CORNER HEAVYFulham
SOCCERteam profile corner heavy
Fulham's matches produce 10.4 corners a game — 7 won, 3.4 conceded — against a league median pairing of 6.44. Corners are separately priced and almost nobody mo
CONCEDING OVER xGAIpswich
SOCCERteam profile defence leaking
Ipswich are conceding 2.2 goals a match against an expected 1.55 — a +0.65 gap. They are shipping more than the chances they allow deserve, which tends to corre
CORNER HEAVYBarnsley
SOCCERteam profile corner heavy
Barnsley's matches produce 9.88 corners a game — 7.13 won, 2.75 conceded — against a league median pairing of 6.44. Corners are separately priced and almost nob
BEING OUT-SHOTLincoln
SOCCERteam profile shot deficit
Lincoln are taking 6.22 shots a match and allowing 10.22, against a league median of 10 and 8.88. They are being pinned back more than the scoreline suggests. R
SHOT VOLUME RISINGBristol City
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Yu Hirakawa is taking 6.97 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 0 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how o
SHOT VOLUME RISINGElche
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Lucas Cepeda is taking 9 shots per 90 over his last 1, against 3.58 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how
SHOT VOLUME RISINGFulham
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
César Palacios is taking 5.9 shots per 90 over his last 1, against 1.21 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in
SHOT VOLUME RISINGArsenal
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Christos Tzolis is taking 5.63 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 1.18 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change i
SHOT VOLUME RISINGRayo Vallecano
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Pedro Díaz is taking 3.86 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 0 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how of
SHOT VOLUME RISINGBarnsley
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Tyrese Noslin is taking 5.5 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 1.73 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in h
SHOT VOLUME RISINGTottenham
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Mateus Fernandes is taking 4.29 shots per 90 over his last 1, against 0.67 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change
SHOT VOLUME FALLINGRayo Vallecano
SOCCERplayer form shots falling
Alemão is taking 0 shots per 90 over his last 1, against 3.6 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how often h
SHOT VOLUME RISINGArsenal
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Bukayo Saka is taking 5.7 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 2.12 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how
ROLE SHRINKINGIpswich
SOCCERplayer form minutes down
Marcelino Núñez has averaged 0 minutes across his last 2 against 77 over the 3 before that — -77 minutes a match. His per-match averages are still carrying the
SHOT VOLUME FALLINGBarnsley
SOCCERplayer form shots falling
Makenzie Kirk is taking 1 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 4.31 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in how
SHOT VOLUME RISINGBristol City
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Lorent Tolaj is taking 6.05 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 2.76 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change in h
ROLE EXPANDINGValencia
SOCCERplayer form minutes up
David Otorbi has averaged 83 minutes across his last 2 against 13 over the 3 before that — +70 minutes a match. Minutes are opportunity, and every player prop o
SHOT VOLUME RISINGWest Ham
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Valentín Castellanos is taking 4.41 shots per 90 over his last 2, against 1.32 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine cha
SHOT VOLUME RISINGMiddlesbrough
SOCCERplayer form shots rising
Sebastian Berhalter is taking 4 shots per 90 over his last 1, against 1.02 before that. Measured per 90 rather than per appearance, so this is a genuine change
3 matches in 12 daysReal Madrid
SOCCERrest rotation congestion
CONGESTED RUN
3 matches in 12 daysLincoln
SOCCERrest rotation congestion
CONGESTED RUN
3 matches in 12 daysMiddlesbrough
SOCCERrest rotation congestion
CONGESTED RUN
3 matches in 12 daysMillwall
SOCCERrest rotation congestion
CONGESTED RUN
3 matches in 12 daysWest Ham
SOCCERrest rotation congestion
CONGESTED RUN
3 matches in 12 daysLiverpool
SOCCERrest rotation congestion
CONGESTED RUN
3 matches in 12 daysReading
SOCCERrest rotation congestion
CONGESTED RUN
3 matches in 12 daysArsenal
SOCCERrest rotation congestion
CONGESTED RUN
6/6Real Madrid
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
6/6Real Madrid
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
100% SHOTS ON TARGET
5/5Espanyol
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/5Alaves
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES LOCK-IN
5/5Elche
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES LOCK-IN
5/5Peterborough
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/5Alaves
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/5Bristol City
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/5Bristol City
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/5Middlesbrough
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/5Barnsley
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/5Barnsley
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/5Liverpool
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/5Arsenal
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
100% SHOTS ON TARGET
5/5Arsenal
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
100% SHOTS
5/6Real Madrid
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
5/6Real Madrid
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES
5/6Real Madrid
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
SHOTS ON TARGET
5/6Real Madrid
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Peterborough
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES
4/5Liverpool
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES
4/5Espanyol
SOCCERshots saves keeper volume
SAVES
4/5Bristol City
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Barnsley
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Barnsley
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5West Ham
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5West Ham
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
SHOTS ON TARGET
4/5Liverpool
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Arsenal
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Rayo Vallecano
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Espanyol
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Alaves
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Middlesbrough
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Millwall
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Peterborough
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
SHOTS ON TARGET
4/5Barnsley
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Liverpool
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
SHOTS ON TARGET
4/5Liverpool
SOCCERshots saves sot volume
SHOTS ON TARGET
4/5Liverpool
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
4/5Brentford
SOCCERshots saves shot volume
SHOTS
6/6Alaves
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
RELIABLE SCORERS
6/6Elche
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
GOALS FLOW
8/8Brentford
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
GOALS FLOW
9/10Leon
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
RELIABLE SCORERS
9/10Leon
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
GOALS FLOW
8/9Middlesbrough
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
RELIABLE SCORERS
8/9West Ham
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
GOALS FLOW
7/8Reading
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
RELIABLE SCORERS
7/8Reading
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
GOALS FLOW
7/8Brentford
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
RELIABLE SCORERS
5/6Rayo Vallecano
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
5/6Rayo Vallecano
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
5/6Alaves
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
5/6Elche
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
5/6Real Madrid
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
5/6Real Madrid
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
7/9Lincoln
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
7/9Middlesbrough
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
7/9Millwall
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
7/9Millwall
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
7/9West Ham
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
6/8Peterborough
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
6/8Barnsley
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
6/8Liverpool
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
6/8Liverpool
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
5/7Bristol City
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
5/7Bristol City
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
5/7Arsenal
SOCCERgoals totals team goals
TEAM GOALS
5/7Arsenal
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
7/10Atletico San Luis
SOCCERgoals totals match total over
OVERS
3.6/matchEspanyol
SOCCERgoals totals team sot low
LOW SOT VOLUME
2.2/matchValencia
SOCCERgoals totals team sot low
LOW SOT VOLUME
9/matchReal Madrid
SOCCERgoals totals team sot high
HIGH SOT VOLUME
2.4/matchLincoln
SOCCERgoals totals team sot low
LOW SOT VOLUME
2.8/matchMillwall
SOCCERgoals totals team sot low
LOW SOT VOLUME
11 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
9 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
7 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
4 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
2 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
1 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
1 in play
SOCCERmatchup dossier matchup dossier
PROJECTED XI
Lucas BoyéAlaves
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Valencia @ Alaves
Mariano DíazAlaves
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Valencia @ Alaves
Facundo BuonanotteElche
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Real Madrid @ Elche
Mikel RodriguezAlaves
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Valencia @ Alaves
Tyrhys DolanEspanyol
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Espanyol @ Rayo Vallecano
Marcos FernándezEspanyol
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Espanyol @ Rayo Vallecano
Álvaro GarcíaRayo Vallecano
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Espanyol @ Rayo Vallecano
Ville KoskiAlaves
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Valencia @ Alaves
Ali HouaryElche
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Real Madrid @ Elche
Federico ValverdeReal Madrid
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Real Madrid @ Elche
Records are written once, when a finding is first published, and never updated. Data-availability skips and unpublished candidates are not archived here. Records written before 11 September 2026 carry no summary line or portrait — the archive is not backfilled.